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Bitcoin is a decentralized system. And so if you hold your bitcoins, like I did, in a completely independent wallet — so not with an exchange, not with a bank, not with any kind of institution, but yourself — then it's just like cash. It's like gold. If you lose it, you lose it. There's no recovery process for that. Since then, a lot of people have come up with all kinds of clever solutions like, you know, metal wallets where you can put down your secret keys and things like that.
But most of that didn't exist back then. Back then, you had to kind of come up with your own solution. And apparently I didn't do a very good job of that. We know that this has been a very good year for bitcoin. How many people do you think are not able to access their fortunes?
And so you can imagine it's probably hundreds of thousands, if not millions of people, who are in my situation. But I think they said it was 20 per cent of all the bitcoin accounts are owned by people who can't access them [according to the cryptocurrency data firm Chainalysis]. Yeah, I think a good chunk of that, especially, like, some of the larger ones, were very early wallets. So, you know, at the time, it might have been less money. But of course, you know, once you can't access it and the price goes up, the number just gets bigger and bigger.
So what is it like for you? After I realized I lost the coins, I was completely destroyed. Like, when I think back to that, it's hard to even wrap my head around how I felt that those couple of weeks. And I tried everything. You know, just what you imagine you would do if you lost that sort of money. And then after a couple of weeks of that, I got to a point where I started to realize that the chances of recovery were not very good.
And we'll get into, you know, what that last little glimmer of hope is in a moment. So I sort of had to make a decision, right? And I chose the latter. There is a way to take a scanning electron microscope and take apart the physical chip and literally go into the the silicon chip and take away layer by layer, like a few atoms thick, and then read out the actual memory cells.
And then with that technique, you should be able to bypass that limit of 10 tries, and then you can have a supercomputer try, you know, billions of passwords per second. Now, the problem is that, first of all, that requires a specialized laboratory. It's very expensive. Only a few people in the world can do it.
Back then, it definitely wasn't worth it. I think now it probably is worth it. But it still requires a lot of organizing and logistics, and even then it's not guaranteed. Now that this has been in the news, I'm getting lots and lots of people reaching out, some of whom are the types of people who have access to that kind of equipment and the kind of expertise needed.
And so I'm talking to them to see, you know, if we should attempt a recovery and, like, what it would cost, etcetera. So what happens? I mean, hundreds of millions of dollars are now sort of locked up Bitcoin should be seen like a high risk asset, and you should never store money that you cannot afford to lose with Bitcoin. If you receive payments with Bitcoin, many service providers can convert them to your local currency. A Bitcoin transaction cannot be reversed, it can only be refunded by the person receiving the funds.
This means you should take care to do business with people and organizations you know and trust, or who have an established reputation. For their part, businesses need to keep track of the payment requests they are displaying to their customers. Bitcoin can detect typos and usually won't let you send money to an invalid address by mistake, but it's best to have controls in place for additional safety and redundancy.
Additional services might exist in the future to provide more choice and protection for both businesses and consumers. Some effort is required to protect your privacy with Bitcoin. All Bitcoin transactions are stored publicly and permanently on the network, which means anyone can see the balance and transactions of any Bitcoin address.
However, the identity of the user behind an address remains unknown until information is revealed during a purchase or in other circumstances. This is one reason why Bitcoin addresses should only be used once. Always remember that it is your responsibility to adopt good practices in order to protect your privacy.
Read more about protecting your privacy. Transactions don't start out as irreversible. Instead, they get a confirmation score that indicates how hard it is to reverse them see table. Each confirmation takes between a few seconds and 90 minutes, with 10 minutes being the average. If the transaction pays too low a fee or is otherwise atypical, getting the first confirmation can take much longer.
Bitcoin is an experimental new currency that is in active development. Each improvement makes Bitcoin more appealing but also reveals new challenges as Bitcoin adoption grows. During these growing pains you might encounter increased fees, slower confirmations, or even more severe issues.
Be prepared for problems and consult a technical expert before making any major investments, but keep in mind that nobody can predict Bitcoin's future. Bitcoin is not an official currency. That said, most jurisdictions still require you to pay income, sales, payroll, and capital gains taxes on anything that has value, including bitcoins.
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