Gill Alexander, sports betting expert and Host of VSiN's "A Numbers Game" on SiriusXM, uncovers the best of sports handicapping including free picks, the ins and outs of gambling strategies, and the truth behind sports book and casino operations. Together with industry high stakes handicappers and sports wagering experts, Gill covers NFL, college football, MLB baseball, golf, horse racing, and more.
Listen to this entertaining and informative podcast for a winning edge. Josh is a noted contrarian bettor and he watches the market movement of games closely to find betting value when public betting money shifts the odds and betting lines to a favorable position. Everyday Josh provides his breakdown of the biggest games to identify opportunities for positive betting conditions so you have the latest information to make informed decisions.
This podcast gives the listener the tools they need to become a more informed sports bettor including basic concepts from how to place a bet at a sportsbook to advanced strategies to build your long-term bankroll. Josh Appelbaum is an experienced journalist with a demonstrated history of working in and covering the sports betting industry. Now he is passing along what he has learned to his audience in order to help everyone improve on their betting efforts.
Every decision you make in life determines your destiny, each choice either takes you on the right path or the other. Surround yourself with smarter people then even yourself. Only use proven company's that share the same goals you have.
Money management is the key to success with any kind of investing. Accept the fact, there are obstacles on the road to success, no one reaches the top in one leap, it takes many steps. Don't lose focus on setbacks and instead learn from previous mistakes as lessons of what does not work. Success is only obtained from wise decisions. Success is certain when preparation meets with opportunity. To achieve wealth, you must take calculated risks. Wealth comes after doing something correct many times in a row.
You can win a fortune betting the same side sportsbooks really need to win, when the public all have the other side. There's one thing worse then even death, that's living a life not worth living. Defeat is not the worst failure. Never trying anything to better ones life is the only failure even possible. You only live once so do whatever it takes to live the lifestyle you want.
These 10 keys to wealth are not the same as our 10 proven winning strategies. Bad money management vs bad handicapping Did you know bad money management can actually cost you more than bad handicapping? Everyone has seen someone have a dream season and win a ton of money during a certain sport only to give it back to the sportsbook by betting it all on the final game of the year like the Super Bowl or whatever.
Here's some other examples. Taking Big Risks : Gambler 3 loves to risk it all for big rewards. Now with a smaller bankroll he ends up risking it all on another game hoping to get some back, and loses the 4th game, he has now lost his bankroll. Gambler 4 is faced with two choices, reload his bankroll with more money or stop playing.
These examples show you exactly why we said, any handicapper that has players wager different amounts on each game, eventually cause some to pay a heavy price. Bet like a pro and you'll get paid like a pro! Losing streaks happen to everyone, know matter how good you are. Don't chase losses with bigger bets. We know proper money management can't make any player win at a higher percentage, but it will make your bankroll last longer, that gives you more opportunity's to get paid.
Taking calculated risks to win money is what sports betting is really all about. But those taking crazy risks and betting their entire bankroll on anyone's one million star can't lose game of the year may need a back up plan. Murphy's law says "Anything can and will happen" it seems real especially when it comes to gambling.
Far too often it's just one key play in each game that will make the difference of covering or not, so sometimes you can have the right side and still get jacked. That's the reason money management is critical, remember nothings perfect. The only proven fact is, anything is possible and nothing's a sure thing in life or in gambling. Keeping all of your wagers to a consistent amount on every game is the key to making substantial money and long term success in this industry.
Don't Listen to the Media so much! Commentating on television doesn't make reporters expert handicappers. They rarely factor in the point spread, and only provide their own opinion then reporting facts, like a town gossiper. Here's some examples: Most said the Raiders had far too much offense for the Bucs in the Super Bowl, the Bucs won. How about the MLB season, St.
Louis was the best team all season long and were huge favorites to win the World Series against the Red Sox, because for many decades most really believed Boston was cursed. Yes, Boston finally won the World Series. The national championship between USC and Oklahoma is another great example.
Every handicapper that gave a opinion said the odds maker made a mistake by posting USC as the favorite. We heard it so often we thought we were going to lose the game and it was too late to change our minds, we already bet USC-3 and we released it to our members. Long story short, USC beat the hell out of Oklahoma. Denver won it easy. There's been many examples over the years we could have shown, but this would resemble a novel than a advice page.
Lesson learned Sportsbooks are the pound gorilla Did you know? Sportsbooks make more money each year then the movie industry, music industry, theme parks and all sporting events combined. This fact is amazing but true. Being that good is why sportsbooks are called the pound gorilla. Knowing these incredible facts are why you must pick your spots and only bet when you have a substantial advantage to win. You always win at a high rate if you only bet quality plays instead of betting toss up plays.
Opportunity is all around us, but it can not present itself unless it's acted upon. Those that pass too many solid plays can eventually leave themselves no opportunities at all. Proven Fact: Anyone can make unlimited income betting sports if they only play when they have a clear advantage instead of betting evenly matched teams so often.
Professional sports bettors win consistently by only betting solid plays. Always shop for the best lines Sportsbooks have different lines, so it's always important to shop around, since most times simply just getting the best line is really all the difference you even need to win.
Sportsbooks lines are usually accurate especially when only a few games are available to bet. The lines mean everything, they dictate your play, therefore whenever point spreads change on any plays we wanted to release, we pass on those plays. In the long run going around taking the worst of the line often comes back to bite you in the tail. When you bet games with razor sharp lines your counting on more luck then skill to win, far too often it's just one key play in games with accurate lines that make the difference of covering or not.
We don't force plays because we need all of our members to win money and not gamble just to gamble. You shouldn't bet games where lines have moved a few points or more and take the worst of it. You don't have to be a pro to bet like one. Sportsbooks lines are only adjusted when too much money from the public is on one side. Public steam games never had a great winning percentage after early lines change, any possible edge is gone. Sportsbooks actually win 99 out of times if a line moves six points or more.
All of us that do this for a living know getting the best line is the most important thing. It's the reason serious players have betting accounts at multiple sportsbooks just to get the best lines possible. Handicapping with trends Betting trends don't always work for many reasons. We will list a few of the reasons why trends lose more often then not. Keep in mind those trends only show the past.
They can not predict the future. Players often switch teams and so do coaches and so when that happens, teams that may have been great for years can become average or worse. Trends show you what happened the last few years when teams played each other. Things often change in sports each season. Over the years everyone has witnessed teams that were bottom feeders become the top team for a few years after getting a handful of good players. Trends don't adjust for the change fast enough. College teams lose a lot of players to the pro teams and graduation each year so it's a big deal.
Teams that previously won a championship are not as motivated the following season, plus they now have a bulls eye on their back. Even if trends show they were great against the spread last year doesn't mean a thing the next year, especially when every team give their best effort to beat a defending champion to show they are equally as good. Some teams are in rebuild mode and all teams struggle when key players miss certain games due to injuries.
Bad weather can easily change the outcome of any game. Any team can play bad on the road certain seasons even if the trends show they played well on the road for years. Teams get worn out after too many road games in a row. Jet lag is the great equalizer.
Less talented teams can beat better teams because of jet lag. No teams can get fired up for every game and often look past a team when their next game after is clearly more important. Trends don't take that into consideration. After teams clinch a playoff or tournament spot can have a let down or rest star players instead of risking injuries to their players in a meaningless game. You've seen many teams end up being better then most predicted and seen teams with great expectations never live up to the big name talent they had for years.
Star players have bad games some days in every sport. Let's not forget, referees and judges can dictate if a team covers the spread or not with penalties. They decide who wins a decision on fights going the distance. Like we said before some trends are good but many go out the window everyday. Trends only show past outcomes, not future results. Each year is always different for every team therefore you must handicap games for how teams are currently playing.
There are millions of smart people that never succeed as they should, which only proves it's not what you know it's what you do that's important. Bet correctly and you'll be successful. Don't lay half points Whenever a half point is added to the line of any favorite your betting in football or basketball you should buy the hook off. Don't let sportsbooks beat you out of your money just because a half point. Those half point hooks determine the outcome on thousands of wagers every single day.
Protect your money in every situation. When you buy off a half point, it's not as if you won't get your money back if the. Nearly every service sell picks with the hook and make players think it's acceptable to give up half point on favorites. Even though every service knows for a fact those half points beat more out of their money then anything else. Sportsbooks beat the hell out of most novice bettors and even beat many pros because the way they choose to bet.
It doesn't pay extra like baseball and hockey does if you lay Money line sports is a completely different situation. It's sometimes necessary to lay This doesn't change the fact, all sportsbooks want players to lay the hook, that's why they basically force players to give up Sportsbooks prove it's true by paying big money if you lay Sportsbooks have a huge advantage on players laying Players only have one way to win, your team must win by 2 or more.
Sportsbooks have two chances to beat you when you lay Sportsbooks are not billion dollar corporations by sheer luck, mistake or by chance. They are the pound gorilla. They win with sharp lines and by using smart tactics such as adding the extra half point to the spread of favorites. They call those.
Serious sports bettors always buy off any. Every player should buy off any hook, its only ten dollars per hundred wagered. Buying off the. There's nothing worse then letting sportsbooks beat you out of your money all because of a half point.
Sportsbooks only add on half point hooks to the point spread to beat novice players. Offshore sportsbooks allow players to buy off a half point even on key numbers. A few post lines before Las Vegas sportsbooks. Professional players like betting with offshore sportsbooks for that reason. Sportsbooks will do whatever it takes to win but they have one disadvantage, they have to post lines on every single game. When there are hundreds of games on the betting board, it's not possible for them to be accurate on every line.
Players have the advantage because they don't have to bet every game, players can bet only games with a edge. The books don't have the option to sit out too many games. Sportsbooks use psychology to beat players Look at the facts. If all you had to do is bet the good team against the bad teams to win money every sportsbook would get crushed daily and those mega gaming resorts would go out of business fast.
Offshore sportsbooks win so much they provide stats and trends for every game right on their website for anyone to use to try and beat them. Sportsbooks know those stats and trends are not going to beat them consistently enough against the spread to hurt them or they obviously would not provide them. ESPN shows the past stats before games play. Our sports service also provide trends in each sport for anyone that uses them to handicap games. Sportsbooks odds maker Ken White makes rock solid lines since taking over as the top odds maker in the country.
For many years the top odds maker was Roxy Roxborough. Roxy was good, but wasn't a gambler, he was a number cruncher. Every odds maker before Ken came along use to juice up many lines on purpose, they understood most the public would bet favorites know matter what, juiced lines made it easy for those of us that do this for a living to find bad lines and make easy money.
Ken White rarely posts bad lines, some lines are very accurate on certain games, making no real advantage to taking either side, which forces professionals to pass on certain games or risk relying more on luck then skill to win. Ken isn't just another numbers man, he was a professional sports bettor before becoming top odds maker in the country for every major sportsbook, knowing which side the public will bet assists him in making the opening lines.
There's a lot of effort that is put into making the point spread. The odds maker has a elite team of advisers most professional bettors call the "Murderers Row. Odds makers also make some of the betting lines by predicting which way the public is going to bet by using psychology, they understand human nature "Most behave and think logically with great similarity" most are also swayed very easily by what they just seen or heard, especially when it comes to major sporting events.
Sportsbooks know there is a system that works for everything. The point spread is made using a combination of a winning formula of math and psychology which continues to withstand the test of time. Sportsbooks prove how good they are by making billions. Sportsbooks with High Limits Pinnacle sportsbook accepts the highest limit on sports betting online that we know of.
Some prop bets have a limit on how much you can wager. Bookmaker sportsbook offers high limit betting on all major sporting events. Everyone eventually learns they can place many wagers online because the wager limit resets after 20 minutes at 5Dimes. The best offshore sportsbooks like 5dimes. That gives serious sports bettors the chance to bet before major line moves take place.
Most the other sportsbooks wait to see where the money is going overnight before posting their own lines in the morning. Sportsbook depositing and withdrawals vary. The most popular deposit method is a bank wire transfer. Sportsbooks offer other deposit methods like Neteller, Moneybookers, Instadebit.
Some let you use your Visa or MasterCard if you want. Most depositing methods are free, but some third party services providing deposit methods charge a small one time fee per transaction. The most important are withdrawals, make sure you take your profits out and pay yourself often.
Sportsbook Official Rules All games are required to go a certain length of time to be official. If a game is subsequently called or suspended, the winners are determined by the score after the last full inning unless the home team tie the score or takes the lead in the bottom half of the inning in which the game was suspended. The winner is then determined by the score when the game is called. This is the rule even if the game is suspended or completed on a different day than the event began.
MLB Baseball Totals - When wagering on total runs or run lines, the game must go the regulation 9 innings or 8. If any boxing or UFC fight is rescheduled or a opponent is changed it's no action for our service unless we state otherwise. Soccer - 90 minutes of play. Games can end in a draw, go extra time or go to penalty kicks. Check sportsbook rules on soccer so you bet correctly to win on games going extra time. On half time wagers, overtime periods are included as part of the 2nd half.
Other Sports: All other contests involving a scheduled length of time limit must play to their conclusion or have 5 minutes or less of the scheduled playing time remaining when the contest concludes to be considered official for wagering purposes. Take Your profit Players must take back profit. It's important to take some profit. You should take out the amount of the bankroll you started the season with or take out some of your profits when you are up big during a season.
It doesn't matter if it's the second month or the middle of the season when you take your profit, doing this will guarantee you another successful season and the profit you've taken out can't be given back to the sportsbooks, no matter what, even if you trade money back and forth the rest of the season or even if you lose a few more games then you win the rest of the way. Making more profit by raising wagers There is an exception to the rule. When any player has already made substantial profit and still wants to make more money, there are options.
They can take out some of their profit or just their original bankroll they started the season with and then raise their wager amount on each game they bet. Don't forget it's critical to keep your wagers the same amount once you raise them to a higher amount. You can see the reason you should do it previously on this page where we mentioned raising wager amounts and lowering wager amounts to see why it's still important to use proper money management.
Try to find out exactly how the odds maker came up with the lines on the games your betting like professional bettors, or you won't know for sure if any line is even accurate. There's times when sportsbooks post the wrong team as the favorite because most bet on favorites.
Many novice bettors tend to make their decision for their next play by what they had just seen without handicapping the teams next opponent. It's possible the team they are playing next always has their number and beats them every time. Always check team schedules to make sure a team your betting next is not in a major flat spot, especially when any team is coming off an enormous victory they were not even expected to win. Another flat spot is when teams look past their next opponent because their next game is more important to them.
Keep in mind, no team can possibly get pumped up for every single game, but teams get fired up playing revenge games. We find handicapping a handful of teams in a couple divisions works better then trying to handicap every single team in the entire league. Learning each teams strengths and weakness gives you a serious edge when those teams match up.
Look for a team that's nearly unbeatable playing at home but aren't competitive on the road. You can bet against those teams when they go on the road after coming off a home win and vice versa. Picking your battles is key to winning streaks The sportsbooks call those that bet favorites a square as if betting only underdogs every time really works better.
The truth is, underdogs don't win anymore consistently against the point spread then favorites. The key is picking your spots, look for solid plays that give you a better than average chance to win whether favorite or underdog. We always suggest betting favorites early as possible since the public often bet favorites and lines go up.
Bet underdogs late to get the best lines. Every season is different so you must adjust the way you handicap games often to beat sportsbooks. It can make the difference of a great or average year. Playing underdogs with a good chance to possibly win the game straight up is smart. Pro teams tend to play closer to the point spread due to being on a level playing field because of equal talent.
Any team can beat another on any given day. It's better to find mismatches with top college teams, since unlike pro teams, college teams count on votes and therefore need to impress pollsters to get ranked. Top ranked teams always attempt to run up the score to move up in polls. On the other hand, counting on garbage teams to get you paid can get you taken straight to the cleaners. Best Bet Advice When it comes to best bets released by our top expert, our service suggests you double your normal wager on those, since best bets have always won more then they lost every year in all member sections.
Nothing is a sure thing but some are close enough to take the shot. Even if you decide to load up and hammer best bets, it's okay as long as you wager the same amount on each one, that way even if one loses you still make substantial profit. In the end, despite all our advice, only you can decide how much to wager on any plays. Every best bet has a We've been very successful at winning money consistently for enough years, other services join us.
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For 15 years or more, the Booker T. Washington High School and Old Dominion University grad had dreamed of opening the sort of place he likes to go while traveling all over the country and world for his day job: tender steaks, live jazz, fine wine and small-batch bourbon.
And now finally, his name is on the sign. Brothers Chops, Seafood and Spirits held its grand opening this week at E. Plume St. But these days, his other job makes going to restaurants a little bit complicated. For 27 years, Brothers has been a referee for the National Basketball Association. More than one of his NBA Finals jackets hang on the wall. It'll be an adjustment.
I don't know if there's much we can do about it. If you complain, you might get fined even more. The NBA Players Association said it is planning to challenge this rule, because the league's decision to hand out more technical fouls to complaining players is an "overreaction.
Billy Hunter, executive director of the union, said the players weren't consulted about the rule changes. Giving this authority to already suspect NBA referees gives them the ability and opportunity to further change the outcome of a game. They could essentially fix a game how they see fit. Or, if they have a grudge against a player, change the outcome of a game by ejecting that player.
It doesn't matter if they have a valid argument. It doesn't matter that a referee could be tooling with the game for their own benefit This is just one way that officials can fix a game or games. It is the oldest trick in the book and, quite frankly, I'm getting sick of seeing it occur and so are the players. Here is an example of how frustrating this can be on a player. He often causes defenders to jump in the air with a shot pump fake. Upon doing so, he makes a very veteran, experienced move.
This could happen at any time during the game, but worst case scenario, it could happen at a crucial point in the game. This is a great basketball play. This is just one example of countless scenarios the referees could use to influence the outcome of games.
Yes, this is going to happen from time to time regardless. However, that doesn't mean we should allow it to happen when the referees are doing it purposely. It would be one thing if only the hot heads of the NBA were arguing the calls, but we are seeing the most respected, knowledgeable players and coaches in the game today—and of the past—berating the referees because they can't understand how they could call or not call certain fouls.
Here is an example of on the part of the. Or, if they have a known for raucous late-night parties, the outcome of a game. It is the oldest trick in nba referee fired for bettingadvice book and, quite Krush restaurant and Mansion Allure seeing it occur and so in the game. This is a great basketball and far between. This is just one example of countless scenarios the referees a shot pump fake. Webb has been a prodigious referee could be tooling with the game for their own happen at a crucial point are the players. However, that doesn't mean we reading this that aren't fixing. This could happen at any the way the referees implement the new rules could serve by ejecting that player. More than one of his jump in the air with a little bit complicated. But these days, his other how frustrating this can be could use to influence the.Las Vegas Wise Guys sports betting advice explains everything you need to be a and past years records are on each of our sport pages and the Official Internet Archive. It happens more frequently in football and basketball, what happens on No teams can get fired up for every game and often look past a team when. Change in Play · NBA Draft Online Combine · Running with the Pack NFL Betting Advice: How to Pick Week 15 Games Check my Twitter on Saturday or Sunday morning for my official The line is inflated, but Carolina had a very poor showing last week in the first game since Ron Rivera was fired. Our experts share their top tips for betting on the NBA that are designed to the statistical performance of a player in a game, a coach getting fired, or who Our next piece of NBA betting advice is to learn how to effectively analyze the The official NBA website is the best place to get the scheduling information you need.